A short follow-up to “U.S. Life Expectancy Falls Again in ‘Historic’ Setback”(NYT)

By Dr Beck

Something was bugging me about The New York Times article. No one had compiled a graph of the total expectancy (age+expectancy) versus age of all Americans. In other words, if you lived to 100 and had a life expectancy of 2 years, your total expectancy would be 102. No one had done this. It bugged me for a couple days, so I finally scratched it. Here is the table from the CDC data I came up with…

AgeAge+Expectancy
100102
9597.8
9094.1
8591.1
8088.6
7586.5
7084.8
6583.3
6082
5580.9
5080
4579.2
4078.6
3578.1
3077.6
2577.2
2076.9
1576.7
1076.7
576.6
176.6
076.1

Dr Beck’s graph

Something interesting stands out. First, the older you are, the longer you will live. That is not a given, partiular during wars or pandemics, or…wait…

Pandemics? We just went through one! Why are old people expected to live longer? I thought COVID-19 struck older folks preferentially, yet now if you survived you are exepted to live much longer.

And what happen to young people? It looks as if their age is plateauing at 77 years old. If you are a youth today in America, without major war or disease, you can expect to die at 77 years old! All of you will die at that age.

That seems harsh, but the numbers are there, look for yourself. It means that all youth today will have 10 years of Social Security and regular Medicare if they retire at the normal age of 67.

It raises the question anew. Are we killing our children? Is is due to vaping, drugs, suicide, alcohol, disease, medical care? Or a total combination?