Do the citizens of Portland, Oregon feel “Below Normal” Precipitation? Does it feel 33-40% “above normal temperatures” RIGHT NOW?
As Prof. Dr. Michael E. Mann can tell you, and I can affirm, Meteorology at one time was the most accurate of predictive sciences. In the Good Judgement Project (GJP) being Meterologist-like was one step down from being “God”-like in your scientific predictions within a set time-frame. That is, you were very accurate based on a statistical grade called a Brier scale.
Knowing somehow that saving these predictive “OUTLOOKS” (above), would serve truth, I did. This is not about NOAA climatologists messing up. They are hard-working scientists. It is a System-Of-Denial that individual climatologists and meteorologists cannot fight on their own. What is happening, as we know now, is a criminality and loss of values at the very top of power in the United States. Someone believing they are “God” not just very accurate, which they are decidedly not. It means quick profits for some, and poverty for the United States.
Greta Thunberg is correct. It is the very few who profit from our climate misery. Whether it is from a deadly heat wave in Moscow, Russia in 2010 or rapidly forming tropical storms off Galveston, TX in the USA. Fossil fuels are being sold; a pillaging of Mother Nature. The cost: human souls and lives. It’s not just climate denial for denial’s sake. It is climate denial for profits. And yet she, a 16-year old child, a visitor to America, is the one attacked viciously by the White House.
Even a Scientist4Futures, like myself, or Michael E. Mann, invited by the students and youth to take part in their Climate Strike this week cries “Where is the justice?”
Everywhere I go, common people, real people, religious people, scientific people, support Greta Thunberg’s call for Climate Equity. No one supports the calls of hate and derision from The White House. A stranger lent me a Swedish flag on a fishing pole – no joke! The owner of this shop with his wife, a Canadian-Swede. Remember Love, said Luisa Neubauer. Remember Love for Earth…
Last year, we predicted that the collapse of the Arctic Vortex, or negative oscillation would become continual during the Winter. It did, when NOAA predicted an unusually warm Winter. TV weathermen on the air, joked that the were setting golf tee-times in New Jersey for January. We believe, friendly competition is valuable for science. Without it, we may have poor predictions, leading to human suffering. Before, there were many bureaus and divisions in NOAA who all had teams come into play at various times into the prediction of weather and climate, such as Hurricanes or El Nino/LaNina. We need to reassert the validity of this approach. We need to end emissions now for the next 7 generations of humanity.