Talking Arctic Summer Melt 2019

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NOTE:  WoW! First, one should be taken aback by the lack of Sea-Ice everywhere and in general.  There is even a “hole” in the 20% Sea-Ice coverage over Siberia that may indicate the collapse of that whole Sea-Ice region very shortly.  

Second, there is NO SEA-ICE COVERAGE IN THE B-K SEA REGION (an imaginary bar over the word “Colorado”, and perpendicular to it, on the right will aid in locating this region north of Sweden, Finland, and Russia), indicating extreme sea temperatures have been reached and continue unabated.  This has always indicated in a cursory, but direct way that the next Winter in the Eastern half of North America will be extremely severe.  This indication occurs at Arctic Sea-Ice Minimum in September. Now it is occurring at the end of July!  

Third, the region above Alaska and the Northwest Territories and over 1/2 the coastline of Nunavut is clear of Sea-Ice with severe melt on Greenland itself.  Humanity has never faced such events.  The question this Winter will be, not if the Arctic Vortex will collapse in a continual fashion as last year, but will it even form at all?  The models will tell soon enough when we can confirm the extent and where of the minimum.

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‘Lowest Sea-Ice Coverage at Minimum’ ever recorded?

Speculation No More…

(1) “With extent tracking near 2012 levels and atmospheric conditions conducive to rapid ice loss, it is tempting to speculate whether September extent will drop below the record low observed in 2012. A simple way to investigate this possibility is to project forward from this year’s current extent using ice loss rates from other years to estimate extents through the remainder of the summer. Based on this approach, prospects of a new record low appear slim; a new record low would only occur if loss rates followed those observed in 2012, which were very rapid because of persistent warm conditions through the melt season, with ice loss potentially enhanced by the passage of a strong cyclone in August.” – Arctic Sea-Ice Report, 06July, 2019.

(2) The nine (9) day period –  15-24JUL19 – following the early July Report (above) is speculation no more.  My prediction…

The 2019 Sea-Ice Melt and Minimum will be the lowest in recorded human history.

Last year’s Arctic Report Card (below)

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