Let’c compare NOAA’s predictions for this Fall to Reality.  Two major hurricanes. Hurricane Michael was unprecedented, landing on shore as a Category  5.  It was the strongest storm to hit the Panhandle of Florida.

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Look!  NOAA predicts in October and November slightly warmer conditions,

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and a slight increase in precipitation. “No area of the country will experience unusually cold weather, this Winter.”  – NOAA 18OCT18

“A mild winter could be in store for much of the United States this winter according to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. In the U.S. Winter Outlook for December through February, above-average temperatures are most likely across the northern and western U.S., Alaska and Hawaii.

Additionally, El Nino has a 70 to 75 percent chance of developing. “We expect El Nino to be in place in late fall to early winter,” said Mike Halpert, deputy director of NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center.   Although a weak El Nino is expected, it may still influence the winter season by bringing wetter conditions across the southern United States, and warmer, drier conditions to parts of the North.

El Nino is an ocean-atmosphere climate interaction that is linked to periodic warming in sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific. During the winter, typical El Nino conditions in the U.S. can include wetter-than-average precipitation in the South and drier conditions in parts of the North.”  – NOAA on 18OCT18

Now a THIRD HURRICANE and a FOURTH Tropic Storm approach MATZALAN – unpredicted in NOAA’s “Rosy World of Beautiful Warm Weather Slight Precipitation Increase” for October.

Hurricane Willa is now a Category 4 and will, before landfall possibly rise to another Category 5 before landfall, as it sweeps across the Copper Mountain and heads for northeast Texas and Southwest Texas. It will bring MORE RAIN to an already flooded Central Region.



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